lol thats whats funny he has been so brainwashed by the conspiritard alt-right wing that he actually believes there is an angels & demons style fight going on in another plane of existence. Like dude is seriously out there
well then you may want to work on your discernment. on a spiritual level, understanding what constitutes good or evil is pretty important in 3D existence. To do or not to do. If you cannot discern which is which, or refuse to consider the questions, you’ll be stuck here for a while.
You’re stuck at a base rate of being correct 6% of the time and don’t adjust your methods of analysis when you’re wrong, cw. based on that I’d say maybe you have much more serious cognitive and emotional biases than an average person, and that your lack of interest and ability to update your assumptions and fundamental methods of inference shows you to be incredibly stupid and relying on a view of reality that is grossly incorrect
lol and not a single thought was put to as to why your base rate is so low, why you refuse to update probabilities, or that there may be something fundamentally flawed with your views and ways of processing information. so many biases. so predictable.
ya and your 80% confidence level in the things you say is pretty high given the 6% rate of them being correct. maybe you should recalibrate to saying that you actually have a 6% confidence level in the things you say, then youd be more on the money.
It doesn’t matter if Turd is 95% wrong. If the one thing he predicts is game changing, then it’s still worthwhile. Imagine if you hadn’t taken precautions against the dino-Nazi-satanists.