AAPL

krazykanuck · September 16, 2016, 1:28pm

Line of people at the AT&T store next to my office this morning for the iphone 7 launch. Probably 50-60 people, and this store never seems all that busy. What a bunch of crazy people.

Black_Swan · September 16, 2016, 1:42pm

I always wonder who the grown adults are you see camping out in NYC 3 days in advance.

Black_Swan · October 25, 2016, 11:28pm

Margins down to 38%

igor555 · October 26, 2016, 12:54am

i mean thats expected or you surprised

Black_Swan · October 26, 2016, 1:19am

Just saying that things are playing out gradually the way I called it. The lone wrinkle here being the Galaxy 7 being a bit of a curve ball.

system · October 26, 2016, 2:28am

Most my AAPL got called away last Friday, but want to buy a buttload back during the global recession.

frankybarnes · October 26, 2016, 4:56pm

So you can be rich when two mile wide asteroid hits at 12 km/s, destroying everything?

system · October 26, 2016, 5:24pm

Low probability of asteroid.

frankybarnes · October 26, 2016, 5:46pm

It is 100% certain. Sign of the education system that this is not understood

system · October 26, 2016, 5:50pm

Yawn. See CFA concepts such as “time horizon”.

Black_Swan · October 26, 2016, 6:14pm

It’s not even certain over an infinite time frame, many other outcomes could occur first or society could develop means of defense. Not to mention the fact that you stated a timeline (ie when PA is rich) during which point the probability would be infinitesimal.

frankybarnes · October 26, 2016, 7:19pm

hmmmm, let’s all take a moment to think about the absurdity of this statement for a moment.

Ok, I’ve clearly done more work here than you guys. The fact is, that is a *high* probability if you look at the data correctly. Definition of picking up pennies in front of the steam roller (large, fast, random steam roller).

system · October 26, 2016, 7:39pm

^ Okay, but I think you can start a new thread on asteroids, this one is on AAPL.

High probability of recession sometime soon, high probability of AAPL coming down in price during a recession, then I buy it, and probably I make money. No real probability of APPL headquarters getting hit by an asteroid or whatever.

Black_Swan · October 26, 2016, 7:54pm

Are you actually talking about asteroids or is this a metaphor I missed? Because we’re being literal it isn’t certain over an infinite time frame for the reasons I explained. Feel free to offer a rebuttal.

Black_Swan · October 26, 2016, 8:05pm

Where do we get these people? Straight from NASA NEO, look at all them negative exponents:

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risks/

“Right now, NASA’s Near Earth-Object Program says there are no big asteroids at risk of of hitting Earth anytime soon.”

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/world/asteroid-day-impact-irpt/ ““If there were any object large enough to do that type of destruction September, we would have seen something of it by now,” Chodas said. The agency (NASA) further assured that all known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids have less than 0.01 percent chance of impacting Earth in the next 100 years”

http://www.ibtimes.com.au/nasa-slams-fake-prophecies-says-no-asteroid-will-hit-earth-next-100-years-1462406

“The odds are only about 1 in 5,000 that an asteroid big enough to wipe out civilisation will hit the Earth in the next 100 years, a team at Princeton University reported”

http://rense.com/general16/chancesofearthbeing.htm

IsThereAny · October 26, 2016, 8:05pm

You forget we live in Extremistan, not Mediocristan…

IsThereAny · October 26, 2016, 8:07pm

Black_Swan:

Where do we get these people? Straight from NASA NEO, look at all them negative exponents:

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risks/

“Right now, NASA’s Near Earth-Object Program says there are no big asteroids at risk of of hitting Earth anytime soon.”

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/world/asteroid-day-impact-irpt/ ““If there were any object large enough to do that type of destruction September, we would have seen something of it by now,” Chodas said. The agency (NASA) further assured that all known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids have less than 0.01 percent chance of impacting Earth in the next 100 years”

http://www.ibtimes.com.au/nasa-slams-fake-prophecies-says-no-asteroid-will-hit-earth-next-100-years-1462406

“The odds are only about 1 in 5,000 that an asteroid big enough to wipe out civilisation will hit the Earth in the next 100 years, a team at Princeton University reported”

http://rense.com/general16/chancesofearthbeing.htm

.01% chance is actually a lot higher than I thought and kind of concerning.

frankybarnes · October 27, 2016, 12:46pm

Another analytical flaw! It doesn’t matter if the rock directly hits “APPL headquarters” for the company to be obliterated . Amazing that people don’t understand this . Must be brain damage, but keep drinking the koolaid.

frankybarnes · October 26, 2016, 9:12pm

IsThereAny:

Black_Swan:

Where do we get these people? Straight from NASA NEO, look at all them negative exponents:

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risks/

“Right now, NASA’s Near Earth-Object Program says there are no big asteroids at risk of of hitting Earth anytime soon.”

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/world/asteroid-day-impact-irpt/ ““If there were any object large enough to do that type of destruction September, we would have seen something of it by now,” Chodas said. The agency (NASA) further assured that all known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids have less than 0.01 percent chance of impacting Earth in the next 100 years”

http://www.ibtimes.com.au/nasa-slams-fake-prophecies-says-no-asteroid-will-hit-earth-next-100-years-1462406

“The odds are only about 1 in 5,000 that an asteroid big enough to wipe out civilisation will hit the Earth in the next 100 years, a team at Princeton University reported”

http://rense.com/general16/chancesofearthbeing.htm

.01% chance is actually a lot higher than I thought and kind of concerning.

Not to worry, I’m sure “Black Swan” knows all about how to scrutinize odds from experts…or not

Black_Swan · October 26, 2016, 9:19pm

frankybarnes:

IsThereAny:

Black_Swan:

Where do we get these people? Straight from NASA NEO, look at all them negative exponents:

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risks/

“Right now, NASA’s Near Earth-Object Program says there are no big asteroids at risk of of hitting Earth anytime soon.”

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/world/asteroid-day-impact-irpt/ ““If there were any object large enough to do that type of destruction September, we would have seen something of it by now,” Chodas said. The agency (NASA) further assured that all known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids have less than 0.01 percent chance of impacting Earth in the next 100 years”

http://www.ibtimes.com.au/nasa-slams-fake-prophecies-says-no-asteroid-will-hit-earth-next-100-years-1462406

“The odds are only about 1 in 5,000 that an asteroid big enough to wipe out civilisation will hit the Earth in the next 100 years, a team at Princeton University reported”

http://rense.com/general16/chancesofearthbeing.htm

.01% chance is actually a lot higher than I thought and kind of concerning.

Not to worry, I’m sure “Black Swan” knows all about how to scrutinize odds from experts…or not

Nice refutation… or not