Capital Market Expectation 1

Hello WRT to exhibit 3. I believe Ireland is the right candidate for the Equity market. But as per CFA it is Hungary.

Ireland Spain Hungary
Output gap Above trend Closing Well above trend
Money market rates Moving up at accelerated pace Above average and rising Bottoming, expecting to rise over short horizon
Other Housing demand strong Boom mentality Confidence rising
Fiscal/monetary policies Removing stimulus Restrictive Stimulative

What is the question?

Show your work!
Where do you disagree with CFAI?
(i) What stage of the business cycle are these countries in?
(ii) Which stage of the business cycle is better for the equity market?