Efficient market contradictions

Hi All,

This question has been discussed last year but what I gather from the thread (filed under Section 13 like this one) it was not clarified (or at least not for me).

Question: if some occurence contradicts semi-strong form market does it contradict weak form as well?

Or does it contradict strong form as well?

Thx in advance.

Strong form (SF) says that you cannot earn long-term, above-average, risk-adjusted returns with any information, public or private. Semi-strong form (SSF) says that you cannot earn long-term, above-average, risk-adjusted returns with public information. Weak form (WF) says that you cannot earn long-term, above-average, risk-adjusted returns with public, trading (price and volume) information. Because public or private information includes public information, and public information includes public trading information, we have:

SF => SSF => WF.

From Aristotelian logic, we know that a statement and its contrapositive are logically equivalent:

(A => B) <=> (~B => ~A).

Therefore,

~WF => ~SSF => ~SF.

If data contradict weak form, then they contradict semi-strong form. If data contradict semi-strong form, they contradict strong form.

Thank you very much S2000. The signs >= make it even more plausible.

This was the thread from last year I was referring to btw. I still hope the initial question & answer provided in te CFA mock was incorrect.

http://www.analystforum.com/forums/cfa-forums/cfa-level-i-forum/91322155

You’re welcome.

Whatever helps you remember it; I love mnemonics.