In example 3 of Active Currency Mgt: Volatility trading (CB)
Q: Given her analysis for India, McYelland’s short-term market view for the INR/USD spot rate is now most likely to be:
- biased toward appreciation
- biased toward depreciation
- unchanged because it is only a short-run view
McYelland’s short-term view is that she expects India is expected to raise rates, but it is not fully priced in the market yet.
I understand that INR is currently undervalued but this quotation is INR/USD, and asking if appreciated or depreciated. If INR is undervalued, INR/USD is currently up, compared to the one that has fully priced considering the rate spike.
so I picked one 1) biased toward appreciation.
But the answer is 2)
please help!