OTS has an investment portfolio with similar weighting as the S&P500. Smith believes that the U.S. equity market could suffer further declines and OTS could hedge the equity risk using an equity swap. Smith obtained the outlook of the U.S. equity market in Exhibit 4.
Exhibit 4: Performance of S&P500 for the Next Three Quarters
Swap initiation: 1,190
1st quarter: 1,000
2nd quarter: 980
3rd quarter: 1,050
4th quarter: 1,130
Smith is proposing for OTS to be the party paying the equity return on a USD500 million one-year equity swap. OTS will be receiving fixed rate of 1% on a semi-annual basis.
Using the information what is the market value of the equity swap to OTS three months after swap initiation?
+USD80.35 million.
+USD85.33 million.
+USD88.76 million.
Explanation
OTS is paying the equity return and the value is:
(1000 / 1190) × USD500m = USD420.17 million
The value of fixed payments is equivalent to the value of a one-year fixed coupon bond with 0.5% semi-annual coupon. The value of bond is the present value of the two coupon payments and the par value:
[(0.005 × 0.9979) + (1.005 × 0.9911)] × 500m = USD 500.52 million.
Value to OTS: USD500.52m – USD420.17m = USD80.35 million
Just one doubt, when the equity value declines, shouldn’t the equity payer actually receive the amount?