Monitoring Portfolio

Sarah Berndt recently hired Phil Ruyle as a new portfolio manager with her firm, Private Wealth Consultants. Ruyle spends his first day with the firm shadowing Berndt and learning about her process. During the day, Berndt makes two statements regarding the asset allocation process:

Statement 1: “The downside to the strategic asset allocation process is that if the long-term capital market expectations that formed the basis of the strategic asset allocation change dramatically, the client’s long-term returns are likely to suffer significantly.” Statement 2: “Tactical asset allocation has no role in the formal asset allocation process.”

Which statement is correct and which is incorrect?

This feels like a pop quiz. The first statement perhaps?

What do you think, and why?

Statement 1 is incorrect because SAA isn’t affected by short term changes.

Statement 2 is correct. I cant find the argument but usually investment managers could manage their portfolio without using any tactical asset allocation.