Statement 2
“Our analysts expect that the credit curve for Company A will flatten, whereas the credit curve for Company B is expected to steepen.”
Kumar responds, as follows: “A trade that addresses Statement 2 would be to sell Company A CDSs with a 10-year tenor and buy Company A CDSs with a 5-year tenor. Alternatively, one could buy Company B CDSs with a 10-year tenor and sell Company B CDSs with a 5-year tenor.”
Is Kumar’s response to Statement 2 by Petsas most likely correct?
- Yes.
- No, she is incorrect about the trade involving Company A CDSs.
- No, she is incorrect about the trade involving Company B CDSs.
Solution
A is correct.
My Question: How is A correct? What if the 10 yr spreads for company A decline to the 5 yr spreads to make the credit curve flat? Then why wouldn’t you just sell the 10 yr spreads and do nothing with the 5 yr spreads? And if its the other way around, the 5 year spreads rise to the 10 year spreads, you would just buy CDS on the 5 year CDSs and do nothing with the 10 year CDSs?