The answer states that one of the disadvantages of the analytical VaR is “No indication of the size of potential losses in the tail”. What does that mean?
If you have a 1 week 5% VaR of $1,000,000, that means that there’s a 5% chance that your loss in one week will exceed $1,000,000. It could exceed $1,000,000 by being a loss of $1,000,001, or it could exceed $1,000,000 by being a loss of $1,000,000,000,000,000.
Thanks!!
My pleasure.