“When growth and inflation are primarily driven by aggregate supply, nominal bond returns tend to be positively correlated with growth, necessitating a higher term premium.”
Why does this lead to higher term premium and not lower?
“When growth and inflation are primarily driven by aggregate supply, nominal bond returns tend to be positively correlated with growth, necessitating a higher term premium.”
Why does this lead to higher term premium and not lower?
Read the whole paragraph.
“In theory, assets earn a low (or negative) risk premium if they tend to perform well when the economy is weak.”
Here you have a situation where asset is performing well with growth -“positively correlated with growth” - and therefore a higher premium
I must have missed that text, thank you Mikey!