Tips & Tricks : (Reading 45) Expected Loss : Discounted, Undiscounted, Premium, Time Value

Hey there,

After quite some struggling, i came up with the following formula, which i think is written nowhere, for Expected Loss :

Discounted = Undiscounted + Premium - Time Value

Takeaways :

  • D iscounted > U ndiscounted <=> P remium > T ime Value <=> Premium for credit risk dominates time value of money
  • D iscounted < U ndiscounted <=> P remium < T ime Value <=> Premium for credit risk is less than time value of money
  • D iscounted = U ndiscounted <=> P remium = T ime Value <=> Premium and time value offset each other

Hint :

A quick way to remember those, is to rearrange as 2 pairs, in alphabetical order :

D vs U, and P vs T : The 2 pairs have the same sign (ex: D P

VoilĂ  !

I have always have problem with understanding the premium of credit risk, can someone help me understand where this comes from and how that play a role in this??

Good one. Thank you