Viktoria Johansson case - hedging/return-seeking portfolios approach

Question

Viktoria Johansson is newly appointed as manager of ABC Corporation’s pension fund. The current market value of the fund’s assets is $10 billion, and the present value of the fund’s liabilities is $8.5 billion. The fund has historically been managed using an asset-only approach, but Johansson recommends to ABC’s board of directors that they adopt a liability-relative approach, specifically the hedging/return-seeking portfolios approach. Johansson assumes that the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds. Exhibit 1 presents three potential asset allocation choices for the fund.

Exhibit 1

Potential Asset Allocations Choices for ABC Corp’s Pension Fund

Asset Class Allocation 1 Allocation 2 Allocation 3
Cash 15% 5% 0%
Index-linked government bonds 70% 15% 85%
Corporate bonds 0% 30% 5%
Equities 15% 50% 10%
Portfolio Statistics
Expected return 3.4% 6.2% 3.6%
Expected standard deviation 7.0% 12.0% 8.5%

Determine which asset allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for Johansson given her recommendation. Justify your response.

Determine which asset allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for Johansson given her recommendation.
(circle one)
Allocation 1 Allocation 2 Allocation 3
Justify your response.

Solution

Determine which asset allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for Johansson given her recommendation.
(circle one)
Allocation 1 Allocation 2 Allocation 3

Justify your response.

  • Allocation 3 is most appropriate.
  • To fully hedge the fund’s liabilities, 85% ($8.5 billion/$10.0 billion) of the fund’s assets would be linked to index-linked government bonds.
  • Residual $1.5 billion surplus would be invested into a return-seeking portfolio.

The pension fund currently has a surplus of $1.5 billion ($10.0 billion − $8.5 billion). To adopt a hedging/return-seeking portfolios approach, Johansson would first hedge the liabilities by allocating an amount equal to the present value of the fund’s liabilities, $8.5 billion, to a hedging portfolio. The hedging portfolio must include assets whose returns are driven by the same factors that drive the returns of the liabilities, which in this case are the index-linked government bonds.

So, Johansson should allocate 85% ($8.5 billion/$10.0 billion) of the fund’s assets to index-linked government bonds. The residual $1.5 billion surplus would then be invested into a return-seeking portfolio. Therefore, Allocation 3 would be the most appropriate asset allocation for the fund because it allocates 85% of the fund’s assets to index-linked government bonds and the remainder to a return-seeking portfolio consisting of corporate bonds and equities.


Does anybody know why can’t we choose Allocation 1? It is 85% in safer instruments (for the hedging portfolio), and has overall higher Sharpe ratio than Allocation 3.

Many thanks.

The hedging portfolio is paramount, so you need at least as much in inflation-protected bonds as the PV of the liabilities.

There was a question like this on a past exam: 2017, I think.

1 Like

I see. I’ll remember that. Thanks…