Predictions on French Election?

The brits arent really European anyway. Candidates like pen got beaten in austria and the netherlands despite getting ridiculous airtime. Merkel is killing the afd in polls, the economist is probably right

Regarding the Economist’s nonsense Le Pen 1% model

“Our model is based entirely on polls”. Then throw in a bunch of chit-chat about “t-test” and “monte carlo” to make it sound sophisticated. :grin:

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/04/election-forecasting

The Economist excels at being wrong about stuff IMO.

The Left/Socialist candidates are telling their constituencies to vote Macron. Early to call but doesn’t look promising for Le Pen.

“Aged 64, Ms Macron is a grandmother-of-seven and 25 years her fresh-faced 39-year-old husband’s senior. Even better, perhaps, they met when he was 15 and she was his married, private school teacher - with a daughter of the same age, in the same class.” That is legit kind of gross. Seems like a very French thing to do though.

Filion from the right also is telling his constituency to vote Macron.

When asked how she could win with no one from the establishment of other parties behind her, Le Pen answered that Trump found a way to win with most of the establishment within his own party not behind him.